: Another round of stimulus checks could help boost U.S. online holiday sales by $11 billion, Adobe says

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More people will shop online this holiday season, sending sales soaring, according to Adobe.

(Getty Images)

Adobe Analytics forecasts U.S. e-commerce sales to rise by one-third this year, reaching a record $189 billion, but that number could hit $200 billion if stores shut down again and another round of federal stimulus checks are sent to consumers.

The shift to e-commerce, which began before the coronavirus pandemic, has accelerated as anxieties about heading to stores persist.

With additional funds and fewer in-store buying options, Adobe thinks e-commerce will gain an additional $11 billion on top of its forecast for the U.S. holiday shopping period.

Due to the surge in digital shopping, retailers are spreading their holiday promotions throughout the shopping season rather than focusing on special days like Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

Adobe expects online sales to exceed $2 billion each day between Nov. 1 and Nov. 21, and digital sales are expected to surpass $3 billion daily from Nov. 22 to Dec. 3.

See: Average holiday spend per U.S. household expected to drop 7%, Deloitte says

Thanksgiving Day is Nov. 26.

Black Friday is still expected to generate $10 billion, up 39% from 2019. And Cyber Monday will continue to hold the title of “biggest online shopping day of the year” with an expected $12.7 billion in sales, up 35% year-over-year.

“This year is unlike any in the past, and for the first time we are no longer referring to peak holiday sales as Cyber Week — it’s now Cyber Month,” said John Copeland, head of marketing and customer insights at Adobe ADBE, -4.51%, in a statement.

Options like curbside pickup and free shipping will continue to be important to shoppers, Adobe data finds.

Also: E-commerce gains importance for grocery consumers most financially impacted by COVID-19

The Amplify Online Retail ETF IBUY, -1.54% has soared 84% for 2020 so far, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF XRT, -2.42% is up 12.1%, and the benchmark S&P 500 index SPX, -3.52% has gained 1.3% for the period.