Markets continue to hang on every word of Beijing-U.S. trade developments, with a report the U.S. and China have agreed to cancel tariffs on each other in phases setting up a bullish Thursday for stocks.
The truth is, no one wants to even entertain the idea that a big deal will never get done, something that could trigger a global recession and bring the bull market to its knees. With that in mind, it’s worth checking out our call of the day from Investment Management Associates’s CEO and chief investment officer Vitaliy Katsenelson, who has said that investors need an “all-terrain” portfolio now more than ever.
Speaking to financial media group Real Vision, Katsenelson laid out some big worries in the road ahead for investors — an “enormous” China bubble, a sluggish global macro picture and high valuations for U.S. stocks that hark back to the crash years of 1999 and 1929.
“How does one construct a portfolio for that? You basically want to own companies as if things hit the fan,” he said. That is, high quality companies with “significant competitive advantage, high recurrence of revenue, very little debt,” and whose business isn’t tied to the economy’s health.
For example, Katsenelson said the portfolio has lots of exposure to health-care stocks because of rising demand for the services of those companies, which offer predictable cash flows, pricing power and solid balance sheets. As a value investor — someone who looks for assets that seem underpriced — he said health care fits the bill right now.
The ultimate safe-haven asset, gold, is not in that all-terrain portfolio, but he said they’re warming up to it as they try to figure out the best way to invest. “We are in the world where you have negative interest rates so suddenly, gold does not sound as crazy anymore,” said Katsenelson. More on his “all-terrain” portfolio in this podcast.
Katsenelson periodically writes opinion for MarketWatch. His latest views on Japanese conglomerate SoftBank and electric carmaker Tesla can be read here.
Dow DJIA, +0.00%, S&P SPX, +0.96% and Nasdaq COMP, -0.29% futures are climbing after that trade development. European markets SXXP, +0.21% and Asia stocks ADOW, +0.39% are also getting a lift. The pound GBPUSD, -0.2800% is dropping after the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, but revealed two members voted for a rate cut.
Just in case you slept through that tariff headline and stock futures move, our chart from The Daily Shot brings that moment alive:
Disappointing results from theme park Seaworld SEAS, -1.26% is sending those shares lower. Videogames makers Activision Blizzard ATVI, +1.48% and Take-Two TTWO, -0.49%, entertainment company Disney DIS, -0.14% and action camera maker GoPro GPRO, -0.45% report after the close.
Shares of Baidu BIDU, -0.64% are climbing after the Chinese technology group beat revenue forecasts. Roku ROKU, +1.06% shares are slumping after news of a sharply higher loss for the maker of video-streaming hardware. WW International, formerly Weight Watchers WW, -14.82%
On the data front, we’ll get jobless claims and consumer credit numbers.
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